<\/p>\n
Ukraynadan<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>sonra<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>Avropa<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>v\u0259<\/span>\u00a0AB\u015e-<\/span>\u0131n<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>postsovet<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>m\u0259kan\u0131na<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>artan<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>mara\u011f\u0131na<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>cavab<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>Erm\u0259nistan<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259nmi<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>g\u0259lir<\/span>?<\/span><\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 Erm\u0259nistanda ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k parlament se\u00e7kil\u0259ri art\u0131q adi siyasi kampaniya olmaqdan \u00e7\u0131x\u0131b. Bu g\u00fcn s\u00f6hb\u0259t sad\u0259c\u0259 partiyalar\u0131n deputat mandatlar\u0131 u\u011frunda m\u00fcbariz\u0259sind\u0259n v\u0259 ya Nikol Pa\u015finyan\u0131n hakimiyy\u0259td\u0259 qal\u0131b-qalmamas\u0131ndan getmir. Erm\u0259nistan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu se\u00e7kil\u0259r daha d\u0259rin bir suala cavab axtar\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7evrilib: Qaraba\u011fdan sonra, k\u00f6hn\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik sisteminin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra v\u0259 son ill\u0259rd\u0259 erm\u0259ni c\u0259miyy\u0259tinin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r psixoloji b\u00f6hrandan sonra \u00f6lk\u0259 nec\u0259 olacaq? M\u0259hz buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 \u0130r\u0259vanda ba\u015f ver\u0259nl\u0259ri t\u0259kc\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n daxilind\u0259 deyil, Moskva, Bak\u0131, Br\u00fcssel, Va\u015finqton v\u0259 Ankarada da diqq\u0259tl\u0259 izl\u0259yirl\u0259r. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n M\u00f6vcud v\u0259ziyy\u0259tin \u0259sas x\u00fcsusiyy\u0259ti ondan ibar\u0259tdir ki, erm\u0259ni c\u0259miyy\u0259ti d\u0259rin daxili par\u00e7alanma v\u0259ziyy\u0259tind\u0259dir. 2020 v\u0259 2023-c\u00fc ill\u0259rd\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259n hadis\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n sonra \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 \u0259vv\u0259lki siyasi d\u00fcnya g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc faktiki olaraq da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131. Uzun ill\u0259r Erm\u0259nistan \u00f6z t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizliyinin Rusiya il\u0259 tarixi ittifaq, Rusiyan\u0131n G\u00fcmr\u00fcd\u0259ki h\u0259rbi bazas\u0131 v\u0259 KTMT-d\u0259 i\u015ftirak vasit\u0259sil\u0259 t\u0259min olundu\u011funa inan\u0131rd\u0131. Lakin m\u00fcharib\u0259 reall\u0131\u011f\u0131n q\u0259bulunu d\u0259yi\u015fdirdi. Erm\u0259nil\u0259rin b\u00f6y\u00fck hiss\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Moskvan\u0131n g\u00f6zl\u0259nildiyi kimi m\u00fcdaxil\u0259 etm\u0259m\u0259si ciddi sars\u0131nt\u0131 oldu. M\u0259nims\u0259dikl\u0259ri Qaraba\u011f torpaqlar\u0131ndan qovulmalar\u0131ndan sonra Erm\u0259nistan xarici siyas\u0259tini yenid\u0259n qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130lk d\u0259f\u0259 olaraq \u00f6lk\u0259d\u0259 ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 bel\u0259 bir sual m\u00fczakir\u0259 olunma\u011fa ba\u015flad\u0131: Erm\u0259nistan tam \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 Rusiyaya s\u00f6yk\u0259nm\u0259d\u0259n m\u00f6vcud ola bil\u0259rmi? Bu g\u00fcn se\u00e7ki kampaniyas\u0131n\u0131n arxas\u0131nda gizl\u0259n\u0259n \u0259sas m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 m\u0259hz budur.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n Nikol Pa\u015finyan indi olduqca ziddiyy\u0259tli v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259dir. Bir t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n onun ad\u0131 bir \u00e7ox insan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn m\u0259\u011flubiyy\u0259t il\u0259 assosiasiya olunur. C\u0259miyy\u0259tin m\u00fch\u00fcm hiss\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn o, m\u00fcasir Erm\u0259nistan tarixinin \u0259n b\u00f6y\u00fck milli faci\u0259sinin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6vr\u00fcn lideridir. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n is\u0259 Pa\u015finyan h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 hakimiyy\u0259td\u0259 qal\u0131r v\u0259 bu, Erm\u0259nistan siyas\u0259tinin m\u0259ntiqinin n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259yi\u015fdiyini g\u00f6st\u0259rir. \u0130nsanlar\u0131n \u00e7oxu ondan naraz\u0131d\u0131r, lakin eyni zamanda k\u00f6hn\u0259 elitan\u0131n geri qay\u0131tmas\u0131n\u0131 da ist\u0259mir. Robert Ko\u00e7\u0259ryan v\u0259 \u0259vv\u0259lki sisteml\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259r c\u0259miyy\u0259tin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259si \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qapal\u0131 oliqarxik idar\u0259\u00e7ilik, korrupsiya v\u0259 avtoritar siyas\u0259t d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u00fc xat\u0131rlad\u0131r. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 Pa\u015finyan bu g\u00fcn sevgid\u0259n daha \u00e7ox, ke\u00e7mi\u015fin qay\u0131d\u0131\u015f\u0131 qorxusu \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 hakimiyy\u0259td\u0259 qal\u0131r.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n Pa\u015finyan\u0131n \u00f6z\u00fc d\u0259 bu ill\u0259r \u0259rzind\u0259 ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fib. \u018fg\u0259r 2018-ci ild\u0259 o, k\u00fc\u00e7\u0259 inqilab\u0131n\u0131n v\u0259 emosional etiraz\u0131n simvolu idis\u0259, indi art\u0131q yeni regional reall\u0131\u011fa uy\u011funla\u015fma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan praqmatik d\u00f6vl\u0259t xadimi kimi davran\u0131r. Onun siyas\u0259ti a\u011f\u0131r, lakin rasional bir ideyaya \u0259saslan\u0131r: Erm\u0259nistan \u00f6z d\u00f6vl\u0259t\u00e7iliyini qorumaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u0259vv\u0259lki ill\u00fcziyalardan imtina etm\u0259lidir. M\u0259hz buna g\u00f6r\u0259 \u0130r\u0259van t\u0259dric\u0259n Az\u0259rbaycan v\u0259 T\u00fcrkiy\u0259 il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin normalla\u015fmas\u0131na do\u011fru gedir, Avropa il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ri d\u0259rinl\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r v\u0259 eyni zamanda Moskva as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ehtiyatla azaltma\u011fa c\u0259hd edir. Erm\u0259nil\u0259rin bir hiss\u0259si bunu m\u0259cburi praqmatizm kimi q\u0259bul edir, dig\u0259r hiss\u0259si is\u0259 milli al\u00e7alma hesab edir. C\u0259miyy\u0259t daxilind\u0259 bu m\u00fcbahis\u0259 son d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 a\u011fr\u0131l\u0131 olaraq qal\u0131r.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n Rusiya Erm\u0259nistan se\u00e7kil\u0259rini narahatl\u0131qla izl\u0259yir. Moskva \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Erm\u0259nistan sad\u0259c\u0259 m\u00fctt\u0259fiq deyil, b\u00fct\u00f6vl\u00fckd\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n Qafqazdak\u0131 t\u0259sir sisteminin bir hiss\u0259si olub. Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n itirilm\u0259si t\u0259kc\u0259 regional m\u00f6vqel\u0259rin z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259si deyil, h\u0259m d\u0259 postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131ndak\u0131 Rusiyamodelin\u0259 ciddi simvolik z\u0259rb\u0259 dem\u0259k olard\u0131. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 Kreml diqq\u0259tl\u0259 izl\u0259yir ki, prorusiya q\u00fcvv\u0259l\u0259r m\u00f6vqel\u0259rini g\u00fccl\u0259ndir\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259rmi. Moskva h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 iqtisadiyyat, enerji, \u0259m\u0259k bazar\u0131 v\u0259 humanitar \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259r vasit\u0259sil\u0259 ciddi t\u0259sir imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 saxlay\u0131r. Y\u00fcz minl\u0259rl\u0259 erm\u0259ni Rusiyada \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r v\u0259 Rusiya istiqam\u0259ti Erm\u0259nistan iqtisadiyyat\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn vacib olaraq qal\u0131r. Lakin siyasi m\u0259saf\u0259 getdikc\u0259 art\u0131r v\u0259 h\u0259tta tam qopma ba\u015f verm\u0259s\u0259 bel\u0259, \u0259vv\u0259lki etimad s\u0259viyy\u0259si art\u0131q m\u00f6vcud deyil.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n M\u00fcxalif\u0259t Qaraba\u011f b\u00f6hran\u0131n\u0131n n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n Pa\u015finyana qar\u015f\u0131 istifad\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r, lakin onlar\u0131n \u0259sas problemi g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k vizyonunun olmamas\u0131d\u0131r. Robert Ko\u00e7\u0259ryan t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259li v\u0259 t\u0259sirli siyas\u0259t\u00e7i olaraq qal\u0131r, amma bir \u00e7ox erm\u0259ni \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn o, g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yi deyil, ke\u00e7mi\u015fin qay\u0131d\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 simvoliz\u0259 edir. Onun ritorikas\u0131 hakimiyy\u0259tin s\u0259rt t\u0259nqidi, revan\u015f ideyas\u0131 v\u0259 Rusiya il\u0259 s\u0131x ittifaq\u0131n b\u0259rpas\u0131 \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 qurulub. Lakin erm\u0259ni c\u0259miyy\u0259ti bu g\u00fcn h\u0259m m\u0259\u011flubiyy\u0259t a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fay\u0131r, h\u0259m d\u0259 yeni m\u00fcharib\u0259d\u0259n qorxur. M\u0259hz buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 radikal \u015f\u00fcarlar\u0131n d\u0259st\u0259k limiti var. \u0130nsanlar\u0131n \u00e7oxu anlay\u0131r ki, Az\u0259rbaycanla yeni geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 qar\u015f\u0131durma art\u0131q Qaraba\u011f \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn deyil, Erm\u0259nistan d\u00f6vl\u0259t\u00e7iliyinin \u00f6z\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7evril\u0259 bil\u0259r.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n Az\u0259rbaycan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Erm\u0259nistandak\u0131 se\u00e7kil\u0259rin n\u0259tic\u0259si strateji \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t da\u015f\u0131y\u0131r. Bak\u0131 ilk n\u00f6vb\u0259d\u0259 yeni regional reall\u0131\u011f\u0131n m\u00f6hk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259sind\u0259 maraql\u0131d\u0131r. Qaraba\u011f\u0131n qaytar\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra Az\u0259rbaycan g\u00fccl\u00fc m\u00f6vqe \u0259ld\u0259 edib v\u0259 indi v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli sabitlik format\u0131na ke\u00e7irm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bu bax\u0131mdan Pa\u015finyan Bak\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn \u00e7\u0259tin, lakin anla\u015f\u0131lan t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015f olaraq qal\u0131r. O, dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlar\u0131 uzada v\u0259 daxili t\u0259zyiql\u0259r s\u0259b\u0259bil\u0259 ehtiyatl\u0131 davrana bil\u0259r. M\u00f6vcud hakimiyy\u0259tin qalib g\u0259lm\u0259si s\u00fclh m\u00fcqavil\u0259sinin imzalanmas\u0131 v\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259rin t\u0259dric\u0259n normalla\u015fmas\u0131 ehtimal\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. Bununla bel\u0259, h\u0259tta s\u00fclh \u0259ld\u0259 olunsa bel\u0259, iki xalq aras\u0131ndak\u0131 d\u0259rin tarixi etimads\u0131zl\u0131q bird\u0259n-bir\u0259 yox olmayacaq. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 yax\u0131n ill\u0259r dostluq d\u00f6vr\u00fc deyil, ehtiyatl\u0131 v\u0259 praqmatik yana\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fama m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259si olacaq.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n Avropa v\u0259 AB\u015e da Erm\u0259nistan se\u00e7kil\u0259rin\u0259 daha geni\u015f geosiyasi prosesin bir hiss\u0259si kimi bax\u0131r. Q\u0259rb \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n \u0259sas \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259ti onun \u00f6z\u00fc deyil, C\u0259nubi Qafqazda t\u0259siri art\u0131rmaq v\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n b\u00f6lg\u0259d\u0259ki m\u00f6vqel\u0259rini z\u0259ifl\u0259tm\u0259k imkan\u0131ndad\u0131r. Ukrayna m\u00fcharib\u0259sind\u0259n sonra Avropa v\u0259 AB\u015e-\u0131n postsovet m\u0259kan\u0131na mara\u011f\u0131 xeyli art\u0131b. Br\u00fcssel v\u0259 Va\u015finqton Pa\u015finyan\u0131 daha m\u00fcst\u0259qil siyas\u0259t y\u00fcr\u00fctm\u0259y\u0259 haz\u0131r olan v\u0259 \u00f6lk\u0259ni Q\u0259rb\u0259 a\u00e7ma\u011fa \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan siyas\u0259t\u00e7i kimi d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259yirl\u0259r. Son ill\u0259rd\u0259 Erm\u0259nistan\u0131n Avropa strukturlar\u0131 il\u0259 m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri g\u00fccl\u0259ndirm\u0259si, AB\u015e-la dialoqu geni\u015fl\u0259ndirm\u0259si v\u0259 Q\u0259rbd\u0259n daha \u00e7ox siyasi d\u0259st\u0259k almas\u0131 da bunun g\u00f6st\u0259ricisidir.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n B\u00f6y\u00fck ehtimalla se\u00e7kil\u0259rd\u0259n sonra Pa\u015finyan hakimiyy\u0259ti qoruyacaq, lakin bu art\u0131q \u0259vv\u0259lki kimi tam siyasi dominantl\u0131q olmayacaq. Erm\u0259nistan uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli daxili siyasi g\u0259rginlik d\u00f6vr\u00fcn\u0259 daxil olur v\u0259 burada ist\u0259nil\u0259n q\u0259rar c\u0259miyy\u0259t daxilind\u0259 ciddi m\u00fcbahis\u0259l\u0259r yaradacaq. Ancaq \u0259sas proses art\u0131q se\u00e7kil\u0259rin n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olmayaraq ba\u015flay\u0131b. Erm\u0259nistan \u00f6z m\u00f6vcudluq f\u0259ls\u0259f\u0259sini d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259y\u0259 \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r. \u00d6lk\u0259 tarixi emosiyalar siyas\u0259tind\u0259n praqmatik ya\u015famaq siyas\u0259tin\u0259 ke\u00e7m\u0259y\u0259 c\u0259hd edir. 2026-c\u0131 il se\u00e7kil\u0259rinin \u0259sl m\u0259nas\u0131 da m\u0259hz bundad\u0131r. Bu art\u0131q ayr\u0131-ayr\u0131 siyas\u0259t\u00e7il\u0259rin m\u00fcbariz\u0259si deyil, Erm\u0259nistan d\u00f6vl\u0259tinin g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259yi haqq\u0131nda iki f\u0259rqli bax\u0131\u015f\u0131n toqqu\u015fmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Ukraynadan\u00a0sonra\u00a0Avropa\u00a0v\u0259\u00a0AB\u015e-\u0131n\u00a0postsovet\u00a0m\u0259kan\u0131na\u00a0artan\u00a0mara\u011f\u0131na\u00a0cavab\u00a0Erm\u0259nistan\u00a0\u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259nmi\u00a0g\u0259lir?\u00a0 2026-c\u0131 ild\u0259 Erm\u0259nistanda ke\u00e7iril\u0259c\u0259k parlament se\u00e7kil\u0259ri art\u0131q adi siyasi kampaniya olmaqdan \u00e7\u0131x\u0131b. Bu g\u00fcn s\u00f6hb\u0259t sad\u0259c\u0259 partiyalar\u0131n deputat mandatlar\u0131 u\u011frunda m\u00fcbariz\u0259sind\u0259n v\u0259 ya Nikol Pa\u015finyan\u0131n hakimiyy\u0259td\u0259 qal\u0131b-qalmamas\u0131ndan getmir. Erm\u0259nistan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu se\u00e7kil\u0259r daha d\u0259rin bir suala cavab axtar\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7evrilib: Qaraba\u011fdan sonra, k\u00f6hn\u0259 t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259sizlik sisteminin da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra v\u0259 son ill\u0259rd\u0259 erm\u0259ni c\u0259miyy\u0259tinin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19160,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,6,3,7],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-19159","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-dunya","8":"category-gundm","9":"category-3","10":"category-siyaset"},"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/ChatGPT-Image-Jun-3-2026-09_56_06-AM.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19159"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19159\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19161,"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19159\/revisions\/19161"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19160"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hocalihaber.com\/az\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}